The Everest Form Guide

Speed Map – The Everest

Speed Map - The Everest

SUMMARY AND BRAD GRAY’S TIPS

It’s a cliche but Redzel is the ‘box ticker’ of The Everest field. He’ll be in the first three, is right at the top of his game, knows how to win, McEvoy steers, Snowden trains… the list goes on. If there is an ever so slight query it’s him at 1200m. Would be very surprised if he doesn’t finish somewhere in the money. Deploy is airborne and strikes this race at exactly the right time. He can high-ball if Houtzen rolls along. Don’t underestimate him. Chautauqua will be tearing up ground late while Clearly Innocent is the one with the most improvement to come. What a race…

1st Redzel   –  2nd Deploy  –  3rd Chautauqua  –  4th Clearly Innocent


SLOT HOLDER: GPI RACING

Trainer’s Comment  – Michael Hawkes:
“One thing you can’t do with champions is you can’t forget about them. Whether he is under the radar or not, people have their own opinion, but he is on song. We’ve set him for this race all along and can’t fault him”

Jockey’s Comment – Brenton Avdulla:
“He’s probably looking for a bit of the cut out of the ground and a race where they go brutal on the speed. All his best wins have been when he’s been well back in fast run races with a bit of cut out. Saturday is his grand final, it’s what he has been set for, so I’m sure Team Hawkes has him all fired up and ready to go.”

Expert Comment – Brad Gray:
“One of the world’s most feared sprinters due to his freakish ability to sustain his sprint. His racing pattern always makes him vulnerable but if the pace is hot up front… look out. Boom!”

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Vega Magic

Vega Magic

Trainer’s Comments – Ben Hayes:
“Vega Magic has always been a very keen horse, he destroys the horses we work him with so he does most of his work by himself. We keep asking the question and he keeps producing.’’

Jockey’s Comments – Craig Williams:
“In the future he’s going to be a topliner for seasons to come. Whether it be as a sprinter or sprinter-miler I think they have options with him. He has good tactical speed and great stamina and most important he has great ability. And he just wants to win.”

Expert Comments – Brad Gray:
“Craig Williams will need to produce something special to find cover with Houtzen, Redzel and Deploy all drawn to his inside. His track gallops at Randwick this week have made him the street corner tip. Imposing animal with an imposing record.”

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Redzel

Redzel

Trainer’s Comment  – Peter Snowden:
“The best preparation with this horse is he loves a month between runs, if you can do that he’s almost unbeatable.  He’s probably a more seasoned horse now, and he’s getting a good 1200m which is going to be the utmost importance.’’

Jockey’s Comment – Kerrin McEvoy:
“He’s a happy horse, he’s a relaxed horse at the trials and he trialled in nice style last week. His work on Tuesday morning showed he’s in a good frame of mind. He switches on when you need him to and he definitely saves his best for race day.”

Expert Comment – Brad Gray:
“Makes his own luck, can run time and is tough. What’s more, he is trained by arguably the best ‘grand final’ trainers in the business. He has broken 33s his last 600m in both wins this preparation. That makes him hard to beat in anything.”

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Redkirk Warrior

Redkirk Warrior

Trainer’s Comment  – Ben Hayes:
“The only reason he ran in the Bobbie Lewis was to get him the slot because people were a bit put off by his form in Sydney last time But that was on heavy 10 tracks and over a mile and 1400m.’’

Jockey’s Comment – Regan Bayliss:
“I think (The Star) have chosen the right horse. He is a good worker and that showed up the straight at Randwick on Monday, he stretched his legs out beautifully. Most importantly he was nice and relaxed and going on his right leg.”

Expert Comment – Brad Gray:
“The stable have been very bullish about Redkirk Warrior for a long time now, ranking him their top seed. Should get a sweet run from the draw but needs to bring his brilliant Flemington straight form to Randwick.”

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Clearly Innocent
Clearly Innocent

Trainer’s Comment  – Kris Lees:
“If someone had asked beforehand what I would like, I would have said around midfield. You can’t get any more midfield than six. That will give Hugh the opportunity to get him to the outside in the straight and enable him to wind up.”

Jockey’s Comment – Hugh Bowman:
“I’m going into the race on a genuine 10/1 shot but I’m looking forward to the challenge. He’s not really a headline horse but he impressed me so much in Brisbane. Can he win the Everest? I wouldn’t say I’m expecting him to win but it wouldn’t surprise me in the slightest if he does.’’

Expert Comment – Brad Gray:
“All 12 contenders have trekked their own paths to The Everest but what about that of Cleary Innocent’s via the 2016 Country Championships! His Premiere Stakes return was very good and he historically bounces off his first up runs. Genuine knockout hope.”

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Deploy
Deploy

Trainer’s Comment  – Gerald Ryan:
“When he broke the record at Randwick he sat behind the speed. I can’t picture Deploy leading the race, depending on where he draws he’ll be just behind the speed. He has fitness, toughness and he doesn’t know how to run a bad race. He’s a winner.”

Jockey’s Comment – Josh Parr:
“He’s come a long way. When I let him down the other day he showed a really brilliant turn of foot. He possesses a turn of foot usually but not as brilliant as in the Theo Marks. When he let rip he really went, he lowered to the ground and took off which is a good horse’s trait.’’

Expert Comment – Brad Gray:
“No horse has EVER run faster time over 1200m at Randwick! The track was racing slick that day but it’s there in the racebook now. Tactics are critical with Houtzen kicking up from the inside and Redzel likely keen to hold him out.”

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Fell Swoop
Fell Swoop

Trainer’s Comment  – Matthew Dale:
 “The whole way along I said he’ll need the first two runs to be improving into The Everest. He’s come through the runs well and in an ideal world I’d like to see a bit of sting out of the track.’’

Jockey’s Comment – Tye Angland:
“There’s probably five lengths between all of them and then it comes down to who is going to have the best run and the most luck. Matty (Dale) is obviously training him to peak third-up.”

Expert Comment – Brad Gray:
“His third up form throughout his career has typically been his best and resulted in two G1 TJ Smith placings and a half-length defeat in the G1 Darley Classic. Is he up to winning this? Unlikely. However, don’t be surprised if he runs a much better race than his odds suggest.”

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Brave Smash
Brave Smash

Trainer’s Comment  – Darren Weir:
“We haven’t really asked him for anything but the blinkers seem to have worked. He wasn’t good enough (last run) and that’s probably not good enough form going to The Everest. There’s still big money to run third. I’m a realist, I’m not a dreamer. He has a massive job ahead of him.”

Jockey’s Comment – Jamie Spencer:
“There looks like being a lot of speed in the race and with the blinkers on he should hopefully be a bit sharper and more alert. I’ve been watching a lot of replays from Sydney trying to get my mind fixed on the track.”

Expert Comment – Brad Gray:
“Weir has been adamant that Brave Smash, since arriving from the Land Of The Rising Sun, has been a ‘blinker horse’ and gets the shades on here. Would be getting near 10kg off top rater Chautauqua under handicap conditions. Hard to have.”

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English
English

Trainer’s Comment  – Adrian Bott:
“We know her racing pattern now and that won’t change a huge amount. When she is allowed to switch off and relax she has got that brilliant turn of foot so that’s her real asset – her acceleration. If she can conserve energy, she is more brilliant at the finish.”

Jockey’s Comment – Blake Shinn:
“I’ve had a lot to do with her and I think she is going great. That last run gave me a lot of confidence. Her sprint there was as good as she has sprinted for me in any of her races. I wouldn’t swap my horse for anything. She has had the right preparation.”

Expert Comment – Brad Gray:
“There is a real sense of timing about English. In the Premiere she ran a superior last 600m split to that of Chautauqua. That is no mean feat. Will be cherry ripe come Saturday. The worry is the barrier. It gives Blake Shinn no alternative other than to snag back to near last.”

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She Will Reign
She Will Reign

Trainer’s Comment  – Gary Portelli:
“The way she (won the Moir) gave me confidence we can go into The Everest and be a great chance of winning. That was a Group One but this is a real Group One.’’

Jockey’s Comment – Corey Brown:
“I’ve only been on her in trackwork conditions but it was just confirming what I’ve seen. To get on her and have a feel of what I’ve viewed it has confirmed that she’s a superstar little horse. You can feel the motor behind you, she has a big hindquarter on her. She gives you the feel of a good horse. With a barrier draw like that (two) I can put her wherever she is happy.

Expert Comment – Brad Gray:
“Produced an outstanding effort to win the Moir first up at Moonee Valley from a seemingly impossible position turning for home. As brilliant as she was, this field is another level again. Is she up to it? Potentially. Is she a deserved $4.80 favourite? Not in my opinion.”

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Houtzen
Houtzen

Trainer’s Comment  – Toby Edmonds:
“If She Will Reign is one of the chances I’m pretty confident on a fair track if we didn’t beat her in the Slipper we would have been close to her. “I think she will finish closer to first than last.”

Jockey’s Comment – Jeff Lloyd:
“If I had drawn barrier 10 or 11 there would have been only one choice – to lead. But from barrier one there are more options. Should they want to go mad early I would be happy to take a sit behind them. Barrier one is a big advantage in a race like this.”

Expert Comment – Brad Gray:
“Her win at Moonee Valley was much better than it looked upon first viewing. She ran good time on the night and Jeff Lloyd was very kind to her over the final stages. Her best hope would be humming along trying to pinch it but even then it would take an inch perfect steer.”

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Tulip
Tulip

Trainer’s Comment  – Ben Hayes:
“At home she’s a fantastic worker and when Coolmore was looking for a horse we suggested her. We worked her with one of our Group sprinters and she beat it so I think she will be very competitive. I think she’ll definitely be finishing up in the order.’’

Jockey’s Comment – Tim Clark:
“We’re going in there with no pressure on us but I’ll approach it like any other race. Her form reads all right, she beat Alizee and ran third in a Slipper. She struggled a little at the 1400m the other day but back to 1200m with 51kg on her back I can’t see why she won’t run well.”

Expert Comment – Brad Gray:
“The last contender on the page and the last into the field. Hopefully that trend doesn’t continue! Off a freshen from the Tea Rose and back to the sprint trip suits. It’s an open race but it’s hard to make much of a case for her.”

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